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The biggest threat of all to Australian football and the AFL is soccer. At the junior level Australian soccer has been the envy of the other football codes, with over 300,000 kids playing the world game. By contrast Australian football and rugby league manage to attract approximately 170,000 and 95,000 respectively.
Due to a number of factors Australian soccer has been unable to take advantage of these vastly superior numbers, much to the relief of the other codes. These factors include the incompetence of Soccer Australia and the failure of the Socceroos to qualify for the greatest prize of them all, the FIFA World Cup.
That is why we should all be alarmed at recent events. The decision of FIFA to award Oceania direct qualification to the World Cup is an absolute disaster for our game. The failure of the Socceroos against Iran in 1998 and Uruguay in 2002, were greeted with a sigh of relief by the AFL, but this will no longer be the case.
The potential of soccer to adversely impact on our game should not be underestimated or lightly dismissed. The most watched game in Australia in 2002 was not the AFL Grand Final but the World Cup final between Brazil and Germany. Matches involving the Socceroos in Australia have drawn massive crowds, with an atmosphere rarely experienced at AFL matches.
But it is at the grassroots level where the impact of the rise of soccer will be felt the most. If the Socceroos qualify for the 2006 World Cup (and based on past results it is fair bet that they will) then our sport will suffer greatly. How many of us grew up dreaming of playing for our beloved VFL club and kicking the winning goal in the grand final?
Instead, a whole generation of Australian children will dream of wearing the green and gold of the Socceroos and of scoring the winning goal in the World Cup.
I dont knock AFL or NRL, but rather I enjoy watching them and participated in NRL for my school. Conversely, most of their strong supporters seem to unmercilessly knock the real football code at every opportunity. All seems a bit like small man syndrome to me.